Resource tax is extended to coal: Will electricity prices increase?

Abstract Whether it's the momentum behind the "camp reform" or the challenges surrounding property tax, today's tax reforms are now directly and deeply impacting the core of China's taxation system. Focused on key issues, timing, courage, wisdom, and the mix of expectations and uncertainties, in 2013, how will the tax reform reshape the mainstream? This has become a major topic during the National Two Sessions.
Expanding the Camp Reform: Tax Reductions on the Rise Although there may be debates over details, the "camp reform" has seen a rare level of consensus in China’s tax reform process, which is one of the main reasons this reform has accelerated rapidly.
Currently, no other country has both VAT and consumption tax as part of its national tax system. As China continues to transform its two major taxes, the VAT deduction mechanism will have a lasting impact, enabling thousands of enterprises across different supply chains to benefit from continuous tax reductions.
The budget report for 2013 emphasizes expanding the scope of the "camp reform" pilot programs and paying close attention to the implementation in the transportation and modern service sectors to further optimize the VAT system.
Jia Kang, a member of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and director of the Ministry of Finance's Department of Finance, stated that if more provinces adopt the "camp reform" this year, annual tax cuts could reach at least 200 billion yuan, with the next year seeing an increase to 300–400 billion yuan nationwide.
Resource Tax Expansion to Coal: Will Electricity Prices Rise? The goal of the resource tax reform is to align with global trends toward green taxation and domestic needs for energy conservation, emission reduction, and environmental protection. In fact, the path for China's resource tax reform has been clear—expanding the scope from oil and natural gas to coal, mineral resources, and water.
While the resource tax reform was rolled out nationwide in 2011, coal was not included. Given that coal is widely used in power generation in China, expanding the resource tax to coal would likely lead to higher resource prices, including electricity.
The budget report for 2013 highlights the need to further advance the resource tax reform.
Zhang Sheng, a deputy to the National People's Congress and secretary of the Party Committee of Heilongjiang Long Coal Mining Holding Group, noted that China's current power generation model still relies heavily on thermal power, mostly using coal. The reform of resource tax is inevitable, and related prices may be affected. Local governments will differentiate the tax approach based on specific circumstances.
Consumption Tax Reforms: Targeting High Pollution and Energy-Intensive Industries Reducing taxes for low- and middle-income individuals and small businesses, while increasing taxes on high-income earners and polluting industries, is at the heart of China’s structural tax policy. Improving the consumption tax will enhance regulation over these sectors.
Currently, China’s consumption tax regulates tobacco and alcohol, but there is still potential for further adjustments. Last year, China introduced new policies on petroleum refining and production, signaling a move toward a more comprehensive consumption tax system.
The 2013 budget report calls for improvements to the consumption tax system and research into products that consume excessive resources or cause pollution. According to Zhang Bin, a researcher at the Institute of Finance and Trade, the consumption tax can influence various aspects of daily life, and adjusting it could also affect consumer prices.
Expanding Property Tax Pilot Programs: An Inevitable Step Recently, the State Council announced new real estate regulations, expanding the scope of personal housing property tax pilot programs. After two years without significant progress, this move has reignited speculation in the industry.
Taxation is a powerful tool for regulating the economy and society. Real estate has become one of the most critical topics in China’s economic and social landscape. Perfecting the real estate tax system is an essential part of the broader tax reform. It should be noted that the direction of property tax reform remains unchanged.
In 2013, where will real estate tax reform go? Zhu Guangyao, a member of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference and deputy director of the Ministry of Finance, said in an interview that the Ministry is actively studying the expansion of the property tax pilot program. No official timeline has been set yet, continuing the consistent message of “research” and “gradual implementation.”
As some industry experts have pointed out, property tax reform is not just about one tax category—it involves multiple reforms in the real estate sector, including the real estate system, budget system, and income distribution system. This makes it a complex and multi-faceted challenge.

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