Monoammonium phosphate will steadily rise in the short term

“While the export policy of dual-fertilizer is tight, but the export window in the latter period has not been completely closed, monoammonium (monoammonium phosphate, the same below) manufacturers will still find ways to release production through exports, and it is expected that the price of mono-ammonium will increase steadily in the short term. "Hubei Yihua Group Co., Ltd., general manager of Hubei Sales Company, Zhi-Bin Yang said in an interview with reporters.

Next year, the country will impose export tariffs on dual-fertilizer and small-scale chemical fertilizers, and there will be periods of high seasons. Constrained export of binary fertilizers will surely cause market rumours that the price of mono-ammonium will fall. However, according to the reporter, after the start of the domestic market for monoammonium winter storage, the supply of high-level monoammonium is relatively tight, and affected by the cost, the market price of ammonium will not rise or fall before the introduction of the new tariff policy.

After the market reactivated, the ammonium market has been quiet for more than a month. Recently, it has become more active and the trading volume has increased. The price has been rising steadily. The price increase has been between RMB 30 and RMB 50 (t price, the same below). Currently, 55% ammonium phosphate is in the mainstream. The price is stable at around 2,750 yuan, 58% of the main price of ammonium powder is 2,900 yuan, and 60% of the main price of ammonium phosphate is 3,000 yuan. Many monoammonium production enterprises have resumed production in succession, and prices have been raised. Although the number of new orders is still relatively small, the winter storage season has arrived and the sales of mono-ammonium have also started. Some time ago, affected by the price reduction of Yuntianhua Diammonium Phosphate, many compound fertilizer manufacturers believe that monoammonium will have room for decline at the same time. Therefore, it has been maintaining a wait-and-see attitude. With the advent of the Spring Festival next year, the Spring Festival season is about to begin. The wagons will also be tense. Downstream compound fertilizer producers and distributors will have very limited stocks. There will be more purchases, and the specific quantity will be determined according to their respective compound fertilizer orders.

The demand for compound fertilizer has risen. The price of raw materials for compound fertilizer has rebounded recently. Since the Spring Festival in 2012 was earlier than in previous years and the time is tight, compound fertilizer producers have to start production. It is time to consider not ordering. According to incomplete statistics, the total amount of monoammonium orders of the national compound fertilizer companies has recently approached 300,000 tons. Of course, the wagon is also a major problem in the later period, and some of the compound fertilizer manufacturers and distributors who are not getting goods are tangled up in contradiction between taking and not getting. On the one hand, there are few stocks. After that, it is feared that the tension in the spring transport will cause normal production. On the one hand, it is worried that the price of one ammonium will decline in the latter part of the year, but it will not be afraid that supply will be tight. As a result, the price of each Other is estimated, and it is expected that as the policy gradually becomes clear later, compound fertilizer manufacturers and distributors will start getting goods, and the price of monoammonium will rise steadily.

Raw material prices are relatively stable. The rise and fall of raw materials such as phosphate ore, **, and ** has the most direct impact on the price of monoammonium. At the end of the year, the output of phosphate ore fell, and the company's main customers were old customers. Most of the company's orders were full. As the weather turns cold, phosphate rock is more difficult to pick up and prices will continue to rise. At present, Guizhou Fuquan area 30% grade mainstream car plate price in 530 ~ 560 yuan; Kaiyang region 30% grade mainstream car plate price of 600 yuan, 31% grade mainstream car plate price 650 ~ 660 yuan; Hubei 29% grade phosphate rock Shikeng mouth price 560 ~ 580 yuan, ship price of 600 yuan, 30% of the mainstream car plate price of 600 yuan; Yunnan 28% grade mainstream car price 350 ~ 380 yuan.

Due to the high degree of foreign dependence on China's **, the domestic ** market price is relatively affected by the price of the outer disk. In early December, the cost of imported ** was maintained at US$ 217, equivalent to *** 1600 to RMB 1700. On December 5th, Formosa Plastics Co., Ltd. announced that 15,000 tons of tenders will be completed. The bid price will be slightly higher than 205 US dollars, equivalent to about 1,720 yuan CIF, while the mainstream quotation of China's main ports will be 1,800 yuan. Means that ** enters the US dollar era. The reduction in total resources helps maintain the stability of the domestic market.

However, ** was relatively weak, the domestic market demand was slightly weaker, the lower purchasing enthusiasm was low, and the volume was light, but the cost-backed price was smaller.

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